24-hour Record
Magnetic Intensity (µT)
Activity Index
X-ray NOAA (B·C·M·X → right axis)
CIS > 0.30
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X1.0 Solar Flare — 2026-06-03
Detected during NOAA GOES data gapFlare Class
X1.0
Activity Index Peak
9.13IJ2
Magnetic Intensity
900µT
Lead Time
37min
IJ2 Lead
8min
MagneT3D Y-axis
+37µT
~13:05 UTC MAGNET bt_mean begins rising (Phase 1 — precursor) · 45 min before onset
~13:42 UTC IJ2 reaches 9.13 — ALERT triggered · 8 min before onset · threshold: 4.5
~13:50 UTC Phase 3 silence — flare onset · NOAA GOES feed gap begins here
~14:30 UTC Second Phase 3 silence signature · Double-dip confirmed X-class pattern
+3.5 h Following C1.9: IJ2 = 12.71 · Highest IJ2 recorded to date
Predictive Algorithm — Flare Forecast
Probability of solar flare (B7+) in the next 60 minutes · updated every 5 min · —
LOW
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Hits
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Misses
—
Accuracy
—
Resolved
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A Hit means a B7+ solar flare was observed within 90 minutes of a MODERATE or HIGH alert.
A Miss means the alert window closed without a confirmed flare.
Only MODERATE (≥60%) and HIGH (≥70%) confidence alerts are recorded. The model is currently being retrained — the record will populate as new validated predictions are generated.
Predictor Log (IJ + CIS · new predictor)
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Detected Solar Events
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StormSentinel is an independent, ground-based geomagnetic monitoring station. It continuously records magnetic field variations and correlates them with solar activity, providing real-time detection of solar flares and geomagnetic disturbances.
The Activity Index measures the degree of correlated magnetic variation between independent instruments. Values above 4.5 indicate a confirmed geomagnetic response.